Daniel Swain predicts mellow June with more showers possible, intensifying fire conditions late summer/early fall

“The good news, following the upcoming short but sharp inland heatwave, is that it appears likely that the West Coast will continue to experience a fairly progressive pattern over the next couple of weeks–with relatively weak pattern persistence, and periodic alternation between ridging and troughing. Although none of these systems appears strong enough to produce widespread wetting rainfall in California (though a few light showers may once again be possible in far NorCal), they will be enough to bring some clouds, wind, and onshore flow across much of the state periodically. Temperatures will oscillate between moderately above and moderately below average over the next couple of weeks, so after this week’s event I don’t see any additional major heat events on the immediate horizon. Hopefully this stretch of relatively quiescent weather will persist longer than that–although all available signs continue to point to a much more active second half of summer/early autumn from a heatwave and fire weather perspective. So enjoy it while it lasts!”

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