Weather coming possibly by Thursday

Weather WestMod • 2 hours ago

Current GFS/ECMWF (and their ensembles) are pointing to the potential for a fairly widespread Sept convective event in CA as soon as 4-5 days from now, with a second opportunity perhaps 10-12 days out. Bears close watching, as there would be a very fine line between beneficial showers and widespread fire-igniting lightning event. Will likely have a blog update on Mon or Tues…

Fires status Sept 3 PM

RIVER COMPLEX INCIDENT Acres Burned: 116,047.05 Percent Contained: 15% Current as of 9/3/2021, 5:47 PM

ANTELOPE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 71,505 Percent Contained: 77% Current as of 9/3/2021, 4:56 PM No growth outside of perimeter

DIXIE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 881,086 Percent Contained: 55% Current as of 9/3/2021, 5:52 PM Slow growth in relation to size, burning mostly into Lassen Nat’l Park to the North and Dixie Valley to the South. Is likely to be a million acres before the fall rains arrive.

CALDOR INCIDENTa Acres Burned: 213,270 Percent Contained: 32% Current as of 9/3/2021, 5:51 PM Burning most to the west into Nevada. Efforts to keep it out of the WUI appear to have succeeded.

Daniel Swain on the value of forest management

Weather West Mod • 5 hours ago

“Despite the destruction elsewhere and the widespread disruption, it’s looking like the encouraging fate of SLT and surrounding communities–in that there was little or no structure loss within the Basin–is going to be a powerful anecdote regarding the promise of prescribed fire and ecologically-conscious forest management.”

Fires update Sept 2 pm

ANTELOPE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 71,505 Percent Contained: 75% Current as of 9/2/2021, 4:48 PM No growth beyond the perimeter today.

RIVER COMPLEX INCIDENT Acres Burned: 114,396.05 Percent Contained: 15% Current as of 9/2/2021, 5:53 PM

MONUMENT INCIDENT Acres Burned: 176,463 Percent Contained: 30% Current as of 9/2/2021, 5:44 PM

DIXIE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 865,703 Percent Contained: 55% Current as of 9/2/2021, 6:58 PM

CALDOR INCIDENT Acres Burned: 210,893 Percent Contained: 27% Current as of 9/2/2021, 5:47 PM

Favorable conditions have helped firefighters contain both the Dixie and Caldor in WUI areas.

Fire conditions improving, situation for So. Lake Tahoe better

From the Guardian today:

With winds finally turning in their favor, firefighters are throwing all their resources into boxing a California blaze burning mere miles from Lake Tahoe and neighboring Nevada.

Three days of fiercely gusting winds had driven the Caldor fire east through the rugged Sierra Nevada, forcing tens of thousands of people from the region of forests, mountain hamlets, resorts and alpine lakes.

South Lake Tahoe residents pack up their home as they prepare to evacuate ahead of the Caldor fire on 30 August.

Read more

Overnight, thousands of firefighters from around the US battled the blaze, which by Thursday morning stretched across roughly 210,259 acres (850 sq km), and achieved 25% containment.

Winds were expected to calm heading into the weekend, although the humidity remained low and the eastern side of the vast wildfire was still burning trees and running through explosively dry grasslands into areas hard for firefighters to reach, authorities said. The blaze was also throwing sparks that caught trees and created spot fires up to a mile ahead of the main wall of flames.

Fires status Sept 2 AM

CALDOR INCIDENT Acres Burned: 210,259 Percent Contained: 25% Current as of 9/2/2021, 8:27 AM

DIXIE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 859,457 Percent Contained: 55% Current as of 9/2/2021, 5:47 AM

MONUMENT INCIDENT Acres Burned: 174,759 Percent Contained: 29% Current as of 9/2/2021, 8:41 AM

HAYPRESS INCIDENT Acres Burned: 86,492 Percent Contained: 0% Current as of 9/2/2021, 7:11 AM

MCCASH INCIDENT Acres Burned: 44,977 Percent Contained: 1% Current as of 9/2/2021, 8:57 AM

ANTELOPE INCIDENT Acres Burned: 71,501 Percent Contained: 73% Current as of 9/2/2021, 7:37 AM